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I hope you read my post and help me with my question. First of all, I would like to thank you sincerely for educating people about gaming industry and helping them to play wisely.
I have been a card counter blackjack player for the last five years and I would say I have made a decent amount so far. Although I used your website to educate myself about the game in my early days, it was just recently that I found blackjack hand calculator on your website. I should say that seems like a great tool.
My question is regarding a specific situation in playing when you have a hard 11 vs dealer's A. I used to follow Stanford Wong's advice published in Million Dollar Blackjack to double on true count of +1 or more. Now your hand calculator basically says never to double hard 11 on A regardless of the count. I even reduced the number of low cards to 0 and it is still recommended to hit but to buy insurance.
The game I play is six decks, no hole card, dealer hits on soft 17 and DAS.
Can you please elaborate on this issue? what is the best play in this situation if you are counting cards?
Wizard of odds blackjack calculator Email Address Please enter a valid email address.Rabelais cites it as one of the many games played by his literary giant, Gargantua, in 1534 (Book I, chapter 22), and it appears under its German name (einunddreissig) in Fischart's Geschichtklitterung wizard of odds blackjack calculator (1575), which is more of an expanded paraphrase than a literal.
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IbeatyouracesHave you ever looked at the hand calculator on wizardofodds? do you think it is trustworthy?
Assuming a multi deck game, you double 11 vs A on a TC of +1 in a STAND soft 17 game, otherwise hit. If the game is HIT soft 17, then you always double. Without looking, I believe the index to hit in this game is either -1 TC or any running count less than 0. Others here will have the exact answer.
This.. H17 basic strategy is to double. S17 you need TC +1.Assuming a multi deck game, you double 11 vs A on a TC of +1 in a STAND soft 17 game, otherwise hit. If the game is HIT soft 17, then you always double. Without looking, I believe the index to hit in this game is either -1 TC or any running count less than 0. Others here will have the exact answer.
I did it based on eight decks with the calculator and what I found is that a TC of +1 is actually situational. The way I did it was just by removing eight low cards from the deck composition and keeping everything else the same for TC +1.
For example, with 30 5's and 26 6's (that can't come up much) on S17, you would double, barely. If I reduce it to 30 of each 3's, 4's 5's and 6's, then the calculator says it becomes a hit rather than double. Ultimately, it would be a composition dependent decision at TC +1, so that's pretty tough. I think the composition of 10's as opposed to A's on your TC could also make a difference, a first card (hit) Ace really doesn't help you at all.
On the other, playing with a few situations, it seems that TC -1 is right about where it becomes a hit as opposed to double on H17.
This.. H17 basic strategy is to double. S17 you need TC +1.
Is it not composition dependent?
This.. H17 basic strategy is to double. S17 you need TC +1.
Right and I mentioned that. I wasn't sure of the H17 index on when you'd hit. I always left negative shoes. 😉I did it based on eight decks with the calculator and what I found is that a TC of +1 is actually situational. The way I did it was just by removing eight low cards from the deck composition and keeping everything else the same for TC +1.
For example, with 30 5's and 26 6's (that can't come up much) on S17, you would double, barely. If I reduce it to 30 of each 3's, 4's 5's and 6's, then the calculator says it becomes a hit rather than double. Ultimately, it would be a composition dependent decision at TC +1, so that's pretty tough. I think the composition of 10's as opposed to A's on your TC could also make a difference, a first card (hit) Ace really doesn't help you at all.
On the other, playing with a few situations, it seems that TC -1 is right about where it becomes a hit as opposed to double on H17.
Yeah, if you're good enough to keep a side count of every rank of 2-6, you'd get a better idea on when to vary the play.
People need to remember that counting only gives an estimate and is not always completely accurate.
My question is mainly about the hand calculator. It is probably wrong when it is recommending not to double regarding of the count. Having that in mind, do you guys think the calculator is trustworthy?
My belief is that the calculator takes into account the exact make up of the rest of the shoe and will give the correct play every time based on that exact make up. As a human counter, you won't have that exact information. Take a multi card 16 vs 10 for example. We're taught to always stand on this hand but in reality, there are many instances you'd still hit it based on the exact make up of the hand.
The Blackjack house edge calculator will help you see your and the casino odds in the specific game you are playing.
- 1. Select the Rules of the game
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Blackjack Calculator Wizard Of Odds
In the first table you can see your odds according to dealer up card. The second table demonstrates the dealer probability of having a different outcome depending on the first card.
You may also try our other blackjack tools created for counting odds, generating strategies and training players.
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| Dealer upcard | Player Odds |
|---|---|
| 2 | 9.027 % |
| 3 | 12.215 % |
| 4 | 15.682 % |
| 5 | 19.393 % |
| 6 | 22.713 % |
| 7 | 14.318 % |
| 8 | 5.741 % |
| 9 | -4.118 % |
| 10 | -17.331 % |
| A | -37.161 % |
| Total | -0.886 % |
Blackjack House Edge Calculator
Probability of outcome of dealer's hand
Blackjack Payout Calculator
| Dealer upcard | Probability of outcome of dealer's hand | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bust | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | Blackjack | |
| 2 | 35.4 % | 13.1 % | 13.7 % | 13.2 % | 12.6 % | 12 % | 0 % |
| 3 | 37.5 % | 12.6 % | 13.3 % | 12.7 % | 12.3 % | 11.7 % | 0 % |
| 4 | 39.6 % | 12.3 % | 12.6 % | 12.3 % | 11.8 % | 11.3 % | 0 % |
| 5 | 41.7 % | 11.9 % | 12.4 % | 11.9 % | 11.3 % | 10.9 % | 0 % |
| 6 | 43.7 % | 11.5 % | 11.5 % | 11.5 % | 11.1 % | 10.6 % | 0 % |
| 7 | 26.2 % | 36.6 % | 13.9 % | 7.9 % | 7.9 % | 7.4 % | 0 % |
| 8 | 24.4 % | 13 % | 35.7 % | 13 % | 7 % | 7 % | 0 % |
| 9 | 22.9 % | 12.1 % | 11.9 % | 34.9 % | 12.1 % | 6.1 % | 0 % |
| 10 | 21.2 % | 11.3 % | 11.2 % | 11.3 % | 33.8 % | 3.5 % | 7.7 % |
| A | 13.9 % | 5.7 % | 14.4 % | 14.4 % | 14.4 % | 6.7 % | 30.5 % |
| Total | 28.5 % | 13.4 % | 14.2 % | 13.6 % | 18 % | 7.5 % | 4.7 % |